5/31/2009 12:58:00 PM By E.J. Reedy

I have a lot of respect for the operation Denny Dennis runs at the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB).  Denny is in charge of the small business polls that NFIB releases eight times a year looking at small businesses (under 250 employees, I believe).  NFIB, and I believe Denny, have been doing these continually for more than twenty years.  In that time, they have covered a lot of questions which are interesting but would never get asked by most federal agencies.  And in the last year they have taken the very forward-looking step of making all those survey questions available in a searchable interface which brings back both interesting survey data but also puts it in an easy to read format: 411 Small Business Facts

One of their weekly emails highlighted a recent question which I thought would have a lot of interest in the current environment:

  • Was one or more of the mortgages taken out on this property to provide capital for your business?
    Twenty-six (26) percent of small employers who own their residence and have a mortgage on that property had one or more of the mortgages taken out on this property to provide capital for their business (Q#18d). Eighteen (18) percent of small employers took out one or more mortgages on their residence to provide capital for their business (Q#18d). 
Read the full question and take a look at other questions.

5/28/2009 2:06:00 PM By E.J. Reedy
Data.gov, a promising new direction for goverment data access, is up.  Data available through it still seems very much in its infancy and duplicative to things already available through agencies (although you have to know about them being available).  Notably, only U.S. Patent and Trademark Office data is currently posted under the business enterprise category on the site.  I can't imagine that will be the case for long.

5/27/2009 10:50:00 AM By E.J. Reedy

A lot goes into making a survey high-quality but also affordable.  One choice that we made with the Kauffman Firm Survey to save on costs and try to achieve higher retention rates was to field a survey which used dual modes of collection - CATI or computer-assisted telephone interviewing and the internet.  In doing so with our panel of nearly 5,000 businesses, we've been able to cut costs on the whole project and extend the period of data collection.  In a field which desperately needs more longitudinal surveys, I think there are some lessons to be learned:

  • It takes time.  Initially respondents were much less likely to choose web vs. CATI because they didn't know our effort and they didn't fully trust us.  With time, the response rates via the web have gone from the low thirties to the upper sixties.
  • It saves money.  The above mentioned transition has cut our actual cost per interview down considerably.
  • It is more convenient.  We've been able to make it very easy for respondents to stay in our sample, thus achieving nearly 80 percent retention rates.
     

These are just a few reasons why this dual mode choice has been good for Kauffman.  In a new research paper studying the effect of this choice and any biases that it might cause in the sample, researchers at Mathematica find very few indications that the CATI vs. web option (or those who switch their response choices) matters at all.  Perhaps the biggest possible influences of mode effects are industry and employer vs. non-employer.


5/26/2009 10:22:00 AM By E.J. Reedy
It's been a long week with the holiday in the U.S. meaning that I am a behind in my posting, but I wanted to offer a link to some in-process papers and soon to be book on international differences in entrepreneurship which NBER organized.  In particular, I think these papers are interesting for the variety of data which the scholars used in their analyses and approaches taken to get data to be more defensible by other mainstream academics.  The Lusardi and Ardagna paper is a great example of how the authors took some fairly heterogeneous data in the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor and parsed it down to the most robust subset for the questions they were asking.

5/20/2009 10:47:00 AM By E.J. Reedy

“With globalization, more and more markets are heading closer to perfect competition models,” said Dan Olds, an analyst with Gabriel Consulting. “This means that companies have to get smarter about how they use their data and find previously unseen opportunities.”

This is an interesting quote (sounds like it came out of an entrepreneurship theory article) from a NY Times article on a new IBM product for looking at large batches of data in real-time, System S.  Isn't the dream in data analysis to have lots of data and be able to anaylze it immediately?  Perhaps this will open up new areas of entrepreneurship research by unlocking the incrementals in the data.  For innovation, I suspect this has event more potential as there is more data for analysis in coming to understanding of innovation.  Read the New York Times story.  


5/20/2009 7:21:00 AM By E.J. Reedy

This week the Bureau of Labor Statistics added two new data series to their umbrella data effort, the Business Employment Dynamics (BED).  BED is built from records that BLS gathers from states as a part of the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.  In releasing these two new series, BLS is further expanding its offerings related to births and deaths by industry and by state, as well as annual measures of gross job gains and losses at the establishment level.  These are concepts which BLS has conceptualized in recent research papers:

Read more about the BLS BED augmentations.  


5/18/2009 3:00:00 AM By E.J. Reedy
The President's budget proposal for 2010 has some promising proposals for improvements to federal economic statistics.  See article from Brookings.

5/11/2009 4:33:00 AM By E.J. Reedy
The Office of Advocacy at the U.S. Small Business Administration released their quarterly indicators late last week.  Entitled "The Economy and Small Business," these two page overviews are a helpful reference sheet although because of lack of data they usually have more on "the economy" than on "small business" or "entrepreneurship."  The general picture which emerges from the statistics is not positive.  Over the next couple of days, I am going to delve into a couple of these indicators in more depth to understand what components they have and what each might be telling us about the current state of the economy. 

5/5/2009 2:44:00 AM By E.J. Reedy
The Transportation Research Board of the National Academies has an interesting call for papers posted currently on the social networking, technology transfer, and information exchange in the transportation industries.  Deadline August 1, 2009.

5/4/2009 10:11:00 AM By E.J. Reedy

We have just received very exciting news about a proposed change to one of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' most important surveys - the National Youth Longitudinal Survey.  The 1979 version of this study follows "a nationally representative sample of 12,686 young men and women who were 14-22 years old when they were first surveyed in 1979. These individuals were interviewed annually through 1994 and are currently interviewed on a biennial basis."

Currently, NYLS79 is getting ready to go back to the field on round 24 of surveys with this same group and the Bureau of Labor Statistics has published a call for comment on their work to the federal regsiter. The Bureau has highlighted the following changes in the current wave of work as compared to previous questionnaire documents:

The round 24 questionnaire reflects a number of content changes recommended by experts in various social science fields. The round 24 main NLSY79 questionnaire includes a more extensive set of questions about volunteer activity and monetary donations to charitable organizations. The round 24 survey also will include retrospective questions on business ownership. This new section augments information previously collected in the survey by asking how many businesses respondents have owned since age 18 and collecting detailed information on the characteristics of up to ten businesses. Questions on estate planning and wills will be asked in round 24 to augment information previously obtained on health, asset accumulation, and retirement plans. Round 24 includes a series of questions on mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. The questions cover the period since January 2007 and ask respondents whether they had been more than two months behind on mortgage payments, received a foreclosure notice, or lost property due to foreclosure. Round 24 includes a short series of questions on whether respondents were offered stock options by their employer, whether the option was offered before the respondent accepted the job, whether the option affected the respondent’s decision to take the job, whether the option is tied to work performance, and whether the respondent has exercised or plans to exercise the option. Questions on assets will not be asked in this round. It was determined after Round 19 that an extended series of questions on assets is not necessary every survey round. The questions on political involvement included in Round 23 are not included for Round 24.

I am so excited by a couple of sentences here that I just wanted to reitterate the passage:

The round 24 survey also will include retrospective questions on business ownership. This new section augments information previously collected in the survey by asking how many businesses respondents have owned since age 18 and collecting detailed information on the characteristics of up to ten businesses. 

If this isn't great news and a wonderful opportunity for the entrepreneurship research community, I don't know what would be.  But, today, I also want to put out the challenge to researchers and those with experience in doing surveys with similiar populations looking at retrospective recall of business ownership activities and other important topics to send your ideas (or just your congratulations) to BLS and OMB before June 15, 2009.  

We will be formulating comments and a letter, which I will post to the blog before sending.  If anyone is sending comments and wants to share them, we would welcome the opportunity to second ideas which we agreed with in our letter.  

Draft Questionnaire for round 24
nyls.html (3.20 mb)

Questionnaire from Round 23
ftp://www.nlsinfo.org/pub/usersvc/NLSY79/NLSY79%202008%20Prelim%20Quex.html


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Developing better data is part of Kauffman's long-term strategy for advancing better research and policy on entrepreneurship and innovation. Data Maven is place you can connect with new data developments, provide us feedback on possible new projects, and contribute to the community seeking to improve entrepreneurship and innovation measurement.
E.J. Reedy is a manager in Research and Policy at the Kauffman Foundation. Learn more ...

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