America's top economics bloggers represent a diverse group of writers with wide-ranging intellectual and political vantage points on one of the most important issues of the day—the economy. As independent thinkers who are immersed in discourse through the innovation of blogging, these economics writers have a unique voice and perspective, and potentially profound influence. Beginning in January 2010, the Kauffman Foundation tapped the insights of these bloggers in a series of quarterly surveys.
First Quarter 2010
This inaugural survey was conducted in mid-January 2010 by soliciting input from among the top 200 economics bloggers ranked by Palgrave’s Econolog.net. Ten core questions and seven topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
Second Quarter 2010
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted in mid-April 2010. Seventy-six bloggers responded to the second-quarter survey, compared to eighty-five respondents to the first quarter survey. While most (around 70 percent) of the respondents participated in both, the survey results for the two quarters are not directly comparable. Eight core questions and five topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
Second Quarter 2010
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted in mid-April 2010. Seventy-six bloggers responded to the second-quarter survey, compared to eighty-five respondents to the first quarter survey. While most (around 70 percent) of the respondents participated in both, the survey results for the two quarters are not directly comparable. Eight core questions and five topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
Second Quarter 2010
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted in mid-April 2010. Seventy-six bloggers responded to the second-quarter survey, compared to eighty-five respondents to the first quarter survey. While most (around 70 percent) of the respondents participated in both, the survey results for the two quarters are not directly comparable. Eight core questions and five topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
Third Quarter 2010
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted in mid-July 2010. Sixty-eight bloggers responded to this survey, compared to eighty-five respondents to the first quarter survey, and seventy-six respondents to the second quarter survey. While many (around 60 percent) of the respondents participated in all three surveys, the results across quarters are not directly comparable. Eight core questions and four topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
Fourth Quarter 2010
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted in mid-October 2010. While many (around 50 percent) of the sixty-seven respondents have participated in all quarterly surveys, the results across quarters are not directly comparable. Eight core questions and four topical questions were designed in coordination with a distinguished board of advisors.
First Quarter 2011
After a year of increasing pessimism about the U.S. economy, the country's top economics bloggers see a bit of hope on the horizon in 2011, according to the first quarterly survey of 2011. Although 77 percent continue to describe the economy's overall condition as "mixed," "facing recession" or "in recession," 23 percent now believe the economy is "strong and growing" or "strong with uncertain growth" – an increase from last quarter.
Second Quarter 2011
Pessimism about the U.S. economy is making a comeback among the country's top economics bloggers after a slightly sunnier outlook earlier this year. According to the second quarter Kauffman Economic Outlook survey released today, 85 percent of respondents view current economic conditions as "mixed" or "facing recession," an increase of 8 percent from first quarter. However, 70 percent see hope for one key factor during the next three years: employment growth.
Third Quarter 2011
Optimism is out; pessimism is in among the country's top economics bloggers as they look to 2012 and beyond, particularly regarding jobs. A new Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation survey released today shows that only 50 percent of respondents anticipate employment growth, a decrease of 20 percent from second quarter.
Fourth Quarter 2011
Using words like "uncertain," "fragile" and "weak," 96 percent of top economics bloggers now share a gloomy outlook on the U.S. economy. Respondents' expectations of higher annual deficits and top marginal tax rate increases, coupled with recession concerns, are a "depressing surprise."
First Quarter 2012
Despite a continued cloudy view of the U.S. economy, some top economics bloggers are beginning to see a ray of hope on the horizon. According to the survey, 14 percent of respondents now believe the economy is "strong and growing" or "strong with uncertain growth," an improvement over last quarter.
